浅析运用计量经济模型的缺陷  

A optimal stimulating method to calculate the VAR of credit risk of loan Analysis of drawbacks of econometric models

作　　者：李志强[1] 詹锋[2] 

机构地区：[1]江西财经大学统计学院 [2]江西财经大学统计学

出　　处：《统计研究》2003年第6期44-46,共3页Statistical Research

摘　　要：At present,Econometric models have found a wide range of applications on economic research.However their reliability can be easily understand by intend or unintended abuses.No doubt,econometric models have the advantage of revealing the numerical relationships on economic phenomena,but there exist certain fatal flaws on these econometric models,which if not treated properly will lead to unexpected mistakes in economic forecast or analysis.In this article some common flaws in econmetric models are investigated and some useful measures are suggested for their improvement.At present,Econometric models have found a wide range of applications on economic research.However their reliability can be easily understand by intend or unintended abuses.No doubt,econometric models have the advantage of revealing the numerical relationships on economic phenomena,but there exist certain fatal flaws on these econometric models,which if not treated properly will lead to unexpected mistakes in economic forecast or analysis.In this article some common flaws in econmetric models are investigated and some useful measures are suggested for their improvement.

关 键 词：计量经济模型 实证分析 数据质量 模型拟合效果 

分 类 号：F224.0[经济管理—国民经济]