美国“新经济”正在重新崛起?——论网络经济的衰退、复苏和高涨  

Is the New American Economy Rising to New Heights?——On the Economic Mechanisms of Recession,Recovery,and Expansion in a Networked Economy

作　　者：萧琛[1] 

机构地区：[1]北京大学国际经济贸易系

出　　处：《世界经济与政治》2003年第7期58-63,共6页World Economics and Politics

摘　　要：美国“新经济”不景气已历时两年多 ,复苏过程可谓曲折漫长。论文探讨了美国当局如何利用“新经济剩余”和“网络财政”等新型手段 ,因势利导地促成了“消费 -投资替代”和“实体经济 -虚体经济的替代” ,从而形成了一种网络经济新型管理调控模式。论文还依据新近经验数据 ,就“新经济周期”的衰退、复苏和高涨机制进行实证分析。鉴于“对伊战争”这个“海外加速器”和“企业赢利模式康复”等因素 ,论文对双赤字阴影下的美国网络经济的发展前景保持乐观。The new economy in America has been in a slump for more than two years,with the path to economic recovery tortuous.This paper discusses how macroeconomic intervention has been reshaped into a new model by utilizing the“new economic surplus”and the“networked fiscal policy,”and by introducing both the“trade-off between consumption and investment”and the“trade-off between the real economy and the nominal economy.”In addition,the paper analyses the new mechanisms of recession,recovery,and expansion in the“new business cycle”supported by recent experience.As a result,the paper suggests a series of valuable ideas.Based on the“abroad accelerator”-the Iraqi War and the recovery of the profit-earning model of enterprises-the paper shows the optimal outlook for an upsurge of the economy,which is shadowed by a cloud of“double deficits.”

关 键 词：美国 “新经济” 网络经济 “网络财政” 赢利模式 财政赤字 虚体经济 

分 类 号：F171.2[经济管理—世界经济]