社会保障会“挤出”代际经济支持吗?——基于动机视角  

Can Social Security Squeeze Intergenerational Economic Support?:Based on the Motivation Perspective

作　　者：刘西国[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]济南大学管理学院,山东济南250002 [2]山东大学公共卫生学院,山东济南250012

出　　处：《人口与经济》2015年第3期116-126,共11页Population & Economics

基　　金：山东省软科学项目"基于供应链效率视角的药品价格规制研究"(2013RKB01093);国家社会科学基金项目"基于国家经济安全的政府审计制度建设研究"(11CGL018)

摘　　要：利用CHARLS 2008-2012年浙江、甘肃两省的调查数据,通过构造Heckman-HLM模型,实证分析社会保障对家庭代际经济支持的概率及规模的影响,并分样本进行差异性研究。结果发现,社会保障与经济支持之间存在"挤出"效应。分样本逐步回归发现,与浙江老年人相比,医疗保险、养老保险和社会保障性收入对甘肃老年人获得子女经济支持的"挤出效应"更明显;社会保障对城市老年人、非独居老年人、高龄老年人的"挤出"效应更明显。政府应将有限的社会保障向高龄、非在婚及健康状况较差的弱势群体倾斜,考虑公平性的同时也要考虑社会保障的效率,争取"雪中送炭"而非"锦上添花"。Based on CHARLS 2008-2012 survey data in Gansu and Zhejiang province,this study empirically analyzed the probability and size of social security to family intergenerational economic support using Heckman-HLM model,and detected the difference between samples.Through stepwise regression,samples points found that compared with the old people in Zhejiang province,the 'crowding out'effect of medical insurance,endowment insurance and social security income in the economy support the elderly got from children is more obvious; Social security of urban elderly,elderly lived with family,the 'crowd out'effect is more obvious.Therefore this paper suggested that the government should tilt the limited social security to the disadvantaged elderly groups,such as the eldest old,the old not in marriage and the old with poorer health,considering fairness and efficiency,strive for 'timely' rather than 'icing on the cake'.

关 键 词：社会保障 代际经济支持 动机 挤出效应 

分 类 号：D632.1[政治法律—政治学]