关于主导产品销量的“趋势—季度”变动预测  

Forecast of "Trend-Season" Change of Main Product Sales

作　　者：张兰英[1] 

机构地区：[1]安阳钢铁股份有限责任公司,河南安阳455004

出　　处：《钢管》2003年第4期49-53,共5页Steel Pipe

摘　　要：通过对主导产品Φ108mm×4.5mm热轧管销量的预测,从理论上、实践上详尽阐述了“趋势—季度”变动预测模型在实际生产经营中的具体运用,同时对模型的正确性也进行了实际验证。这对当今企业生产经营工作中各种目标的定量预测,具有重要的现实意义。Taking sales forecast of the main product, the φ108 mm × 4.5 mm hot-rolled tube as an example, the author elaborates theoretically and practically how the model for forecast of ' Trend-Season ' change is used in actual production and sales. In addition, the said model is verified through practice for its correctness, which is so significant for enterprises to make quantitive forecasts for different production/sales targets.

关 键 词：热轧管 销量 主导产品 “趋势-季度”变动预测 钢铁企业 生产经营 

分 类 号：F426.3[经济管理—产业经济]