“一带一路”背景下的中印货物贸易结构分析:2002—2014年  

An Analysis on China-India Trade Structure in the Context of the Belt and Road Initiative from 2002-2014

作　　者：杜秀红[1] 

机构地区：[1]南京大学商学院,江苏南京210093

出　　处：《审计与经济研究》2015年第6期106-112,共7页Journal of Audit & Economics

基　　金：江苏省教育厅人文社会科学规划基金项目(2013SJB790035);江苏高校哲学社会科学研究重点项目(2014ZDIXM016);江苏高校哲学社会科学研究基金项目(2014SJD149);江苏省社会科学应用研究(人才发展)重点课题(15SRA-8)

摘　　要：选取了2002—2014年数据,运用显性比较优势指数、贸易强度指数、贸易互补性指数,对中印两国贸易结构的竞争性与互补性进行实证分析。结果表明:中国在劳动密集型轻工产品以及机械与运输设备上具有竞争优势,而印度在农产品、矿产资源类产品、医药化工、轻工产品等产品上具有竞争优势,中印的贸易互补性大于竞争性,在"一带一路"背景下,中印两国贸易空间有待进一步加大。The Belt and Road Initiative is an attempt made by Chinese Government in the new era. India is especially important for the implementation of the Belt and Road Initiative as it is the largest country in South Asia. Under this background,this paper examines the characteristics and patterns of trade between China and India by calculating RCA,trade intensity index,complementarity index using the relative trade data from 2002 to 2014. The results show that China has gained the comparative advantage in labor- intensive manufacturing industries as well as machinery and transport equipment while India the comparative advantage in agricultural products,mineral resources,pharmaceutical chemicals,light industrial products. Therefore,it is more complementary than competitive in the trade structure between China and India. Consequently,the trade volume between China and India is expected to increase dramatically along with the implementation of 'Belt and Road Initiative'.

关 键 词：贸易结构 一带一路 贸易互补指数 国际贸易 中印贸易 区域贸易 丝绸之路 经济带 

分 类 号：F752.7[经济管理—国际贸易]