导弹成本预测模型及分析  

The Prediction Model and Analysis of Missile Cost

作　　者：赵英俊[1] 娄寿春[1] 张勇[1] 

机构地区：[1]空军工程大学导弹学院,陕西三原713800

出　　处：《系统工程理论与实践》2003年第9期117-120,139,共5页Systems Engineering-Theory & Practice

摘　　要：　采用熟练曲线原理及多元数据诊断原理对导弹成本数据进行分析与诊断,获得了建立参数模型所需的合理数据,并以此建立了导弹成本预测模型,通过对导弹成本预测模型敏感性分析,确定了影响导弹成本的主要因素.This article adopts the well-trained curve to the data of missile cost to proceed analysis and examination and acquires a reasonable data to establish parameter model. And by this, the prediction model of missile cost is established. After the sensitivity analysis of missile cost estimation model, We make sure the main factors which influence the missile cost.

关 键 词：熟练曲线 导弹成本 敏感性分析 

分 类 号：E926.4[军事—军事装备学]