世界烟草产业成长过程的逻辑函数分析  

Domonstrative analysis on the growth process of tobacco industry in the world by logistic function

作　　者：左相国[1] 

机构地区：[1]武汉科技大学管理学院

出　　处：《统计研究》2003年第10期49-51,53,共4页Statistical Research

基　　金：国家烟草专卖局应用基础软科学项目基金资助项目 [国烟科字 1999( 4 3 2 )号 ]

摘　　要：The identifying models of the parameters in a logistic function are introduced in this paper at first.Then the identifying models are used to analyze the output series of Tobacco Industry in the World.The parameters in the logistic function are gained and the demonstrative model on the growth process of Tobacco Industry in the World is formulated.The demonstrative model predicts the development trends of China tobacco industry.The identifying models of the parameters in a logistic function are introduced in this paper at first.Then the identifying models are used to analyze the output series of Tobacco Industry in the World.The parameters in the logistic function are gained and the demonstrative model on the growth process of Tobacco Industry in the World is formulated.The demonstrative model predicts the development trends of China tobacco industry.

关 键 词：世界 烟草产业 产出序列 成长过程 逻辑函数 参数辨识模型 预测 

分 类 号：F416.89[经济管理—产业经济]