企业技术创新风险的模糊综合评价  

The Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation of the Risk of Technology Innovation for Enterprises

作　　者：向为民[1] 冯梅[2] 石琴[3] 

机构地区：[1]重庆工业管理学院,重庆400050 [2]后勤工程学院校长办公室,重庆400016 [3]重庆大学校长办公室,重庆400044

出　　处：《重庆大学学报（自然科学版）》2003年第12期142-144,共3页Journal of Chongqing University

摘　　要：结合技术创新中的风险类别,从企业内部、外部以及项目本身的技术难度角度出发,把技术风险、企业能力风险、市场风险作为主要的风险考察因子,并把这些因子进一步细分,设置了企业技术创新风险的评价指标体系。借助于AHP法对各层次指标赋权,建立模糊评判模型,对企业技术创新风险进行科学评价,定量的衡量企业关于某个项目的技术创新风险大小,作为企业技术创新决策和采取风险控制措施的依据。最后给出算例分析。The author establishes a risk evaluation index system of technology innovation according to the character of technology innovation . In this index system, technology risk, the capability of coporate risk, market risk are taken into consideration as well as the situition of the interior and the exterior of coporate besides the difficulty of the technology. The index-weighted is calculated with AHP and the whole process of fuzzy comprehensive evaluation is developed , which gives the accurate evaluation for the echnology innovation risk and can be guided by an enterprise for control the risk. At last, an example is given.

关 键 词：技术创新 风险评价指标 模糊评价 

分 类 号：F224.0[经济管理—国民经济]