现代物流业与区域经济相关产业联动发展研究——基于山东省的实证分析  

A Case Study on the Interactive Development of Logistics Industry and Its Related Industries Based on Shandong Province

作　　者：王文铭[1] 殷凤朝[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国石油大学(华东),山东青岛266580

出　　处：《潍坊学院学报》2014年第4期11-14,共4页Journal of Weifang University

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目"CSR行为:模式选择;影响因素及对竞争优势的作用机理"(项目编号:G020102/71172080);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目"资源税改革对山东省区域经济协调发展的影响及对策研究"(项目编号:14CX06032B);山东省社会科学规划项目"加快我省现代流通业发展对策性研究:政府;企业与社会视角"(项目编号:13CJJZ04)

摘　　要：运用灰色关联分析和协整检验相结合的方法,建立物流业与国民经济各产业之间相互作用的分析框架。首先应用灰色关联研究物流业的发展在不同时期与国民经济其他各产业发展的关联程度,然后通过协整分析,进一步解释二者之间的互动关系,提出物流业在促进山东省区域产业结构优化升级中的重要意义,大力发展物流业是区域经济发展的必然选择。Based on gray correlation analysis and co-integration test, an analytical framework that allows the interaction between the logistics industry and its related industies of national economy has been set up. Through the grey theory, the correlation degree between logistics industry and other industries of national economy has been studied, and the interactive relations between them have been discovered based on co-integration theory. The development of logistics industry in Shandong province plays an important role in the transformation and upgrading of the regional industrial structure. Finally points out that developing logistics industry is an indispensable choice in the development of the regional economy.

关 键 词：物流业 区域经济 灰色关联分析 协整理论 格兰杰因果关系检验 

分 类 号：F259.27[经济管理—国民经济] F127F224