T=S Model to Simulate Regional Economic Development  

作　　者：Wang Qing, Chen Guo-jie, Zhang Yu, Chen YongInstitute of Mountain Hazards and Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Chengdu 610041, Sichuan, China 

出　　处：《Wuhan University Journal of Natural Sciences》2003年第03B期893-896,共4页武汉大学学报（自然科学英文版）

基　　金：Supported by the Knowledge Innovation Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences and National Key Technologies R &D Program in the 10th Five-Ycar Plan of china(2001BA901A40)

摘　　要：This paper proposes a mechanism theory on regional development by using a modified Logistic model. It reveals regional evolution is an integration of fluctuation in temporal dimension and disparity in spatial dimension. T = S model is established by using Logistic model to simulate the growth of per capita GDP in China from 1990 to 1999. The result shows that T=S model accurately simulates the tracks of economic growth.This paper proposes a mechanism theory on regional development by using a modified Logistic model. It reveals regional evolution is an integration of fluctuation in temporal dimension and disparity in spatial dimension. T = S model is established by using Logistic model to simulate the growth of per capita GDP in China from 1990 to 1999. The result shows that T=S model accurately simulates the tracks of economic growth.

关 键 词：Logistic model temporal & spatial model SIMULATION lag time effect economic growth 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济] F224.0