股票投资价值灰色马尔可夫预测  

Grey Markov Predicting in the Value of Stock Investment

作　　者：王露璐[1] 邓丽[1] 刘先涛[1] 

机构地区：[1]西南石油学院工商管理学院,四川成都610500

出　　处：《商业研究》2004年第1期137-139,共3页Commercial Research

摘　　要：传统的资产估价理论,即“稳固基础理论”和“空中楼阁理论”使人们认识到,股票的内在价值与投资者的心理价值都对投资行为起着重要的作用,但对于一般投资者来说,如何在信息不完全的条件下得到股票的投资价值呢?灰色马尔可夫预测方法在股票价格预测中应用理论基础,运用修正方法,能为投资者的投资决策行为提供一定的指导。The traditional assets appraise theories, namely 'Theory of stable basis' and 'Theory of castles in the air' make people aware that both the inherent value of the stock and investors' psychological value play an important role to the behavior of investment. For ordinary investor, however, how to get the investment value of the stock under the incomplete terms of information? In the stock price predicting, the Gray Markov Predict Method uses the foundational theory, gives revision and expects to offer some guidance for investors' investment decision.

关 键 词：股票投资价值 灰色预测 马尔可夫链 稳固基础理论 空中楼阁理论 

分 类 号：F830.91[经济管理—金融学] F830.59