拉丁美洲经济发展的现状与90年代的前景  

Current Situation and Prospects of Latin American Economies

作　　者：黄文登[1] 

机构地区：[1]中联部拉美局

出　　处：《拉丁美洲研究》1993年第1期15-19,63-64,共5页Journal of Latin American Studies

摘　　要：拉美国家经过80年代经济的持续衰退,开始步入充满希望的90年代。然而,90年代拉美国家的前景究竟怎样?还会遇到什么问题?这些仍然是当前国内外学术界关注和讨论的问题。拉丁美洲当前的经济形势近两年来,多数拉美国家已经摆脱80年代的经济危机,走上恢复和发展的轨道。少数国家经济虽然仍处于停滞状态,但比80年代也有所好转。(一)多数国家的经济出现增长势头。从1991年开始,拉美多数国家的经济开始出现不同程度的增长。LATIN AMERICAN ECONOMIES ARE NOW CHARACTERIZED ASrenewed GNP growth,declining inflation rates,reduction of the debt burden,improvement of access to external capital and,on the whole,a return todevelopment.The 1990s will be better off than the 1980s.In the currentdecade,economic growth rate will be 4% as against 1.1% for the last decade;inflation rates will be curtailed from three digits to two digits;debt burdenwill be lessened further;and investment rates will climb.Latin American economies will benefit from such favourable external condi-tions as better world economic situation,lower world interest rates and thedeveloped countries'continued attention to Latin America.However,unfavoura-ble factors hindering Latin American economies can still be found.For instan-ce,the economic infrastructure is fragile;the debt problem will exist for quite a long time;social problems are more and more seri(?)ts;access to internationalcapital market is limited;world trade envirenment is yet to be improved;andthe world in general is far from stable.Given this prediction,prospects ofLatin American economies should not be too optimistic.

关 键 词：拉丁美洲 经济发展 90年代 经济调整 经济前景 

分 类 号：F173.04[经济管理—世界经济]