群体行为集成化知识描述与定性模拟研究  

Study on Integrated Knowledge Description and Qualitative Simulation Method for Group Behavior

作　　者：胡斌[1] 夏功成[1] 

机构地区：[1]华中科技大学管理学院,武汉430074

出　　处：《中国管理科学》2004年第1期110-116,共7页Chinese Journal of Management Science

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(70271029)

摘　　要：针对群体行为变化过程的定性模拟问题,利用定性因果推理和QSIM算法的思路,研究了与人群行为有关的知识描述方法,包括对外部环境、内部文化环境、管理措施、人群内各要素状态、各要素相互关系的描述。然后设计了定性模拟的规则和算法步骤。将上述方法用于一个群体行为变化实例的模拟,模拟结果表明,本文所提出的方法能够较好地解决复杂管理系统的定性模拟问题,所得结果符合实际情况和相关的组织行为理论。For the qualitative simulation problem on group behavior change process,the qualitative causal order and QSIM are integrated to study the knowledge description method of group behavior change,which covers description of exterior environment,management scenario,element state of group,relationship between elements and cultural environment.After that,the qualitative simulation rules and its algorithm steps are designed.From the conclusion of an application simulation,it shows that the methods set up in this paper can well solve the qualitative simulation for fuzzy management system.The simulation conclusion accords with the reality and organizational behavior theory.

关 键 词：群体行为 定性因果推理 QSIM算法 定性知识描述 

分 类 号：F830[经济管理—金融学]