预测油井压裂潜力的一种新方法  

A new method for forecasting the fracturing potential

作　　者：刘端奇[1] 董伟宏[1] 王天智[1] 楼唤春[1] 

机构地区：[1]大庆油田有限责任公司勘探开发研究院,黑龙江大庆163712

出　　处：《大庆石油地质与开发》2004年第2期45-46,共2页Petroleum Geology & Oilfield Development in Daqing

摘　　要：针对目前油田对油井压裂潜力预测参数取得比较困难,预测效果不能满足开发规划安排的需要等问题,考虑到油井累积产量与时间的关系属于增长型关系,从logistic模型入手,通过大量油井压裂单井效果统计分析,建立了油井压裂效果预测模型,结合压裂效果经济效益评价和地质工艺条件分析,提出了利用油田常规资料对油井压裂潜力井数和效果进行预测的一种新方法。Aiming at the problem that it is hard to get the oil well tracturing potential forecasting parameter and the forecasting effect can't satisfy the arrangement of the development planning, and considering the increasing model relation between the cumulative oil production and the time, through a lot of statistic analysis of single well effect, this paper forms a model for forecasting oil well fracturing effect is set up. Combined with economical evaluation for forecasting effect and the geological and technological condition analysis, a new method for forecasting the forecasting oil well numbers and forecasting effect through the conventional data is put up.

关 键 词：油井 水驱 压裂潜力 预测方法 

分 类 号：TE357.1[石油与天然气工程—油气田开发工程]