基于可持续发展的中国经济-资源系统协调性分析  

A Harmony Analysis on System of Economy and Resource Based on Sustainable Development in China

作　　者：陈长杰[1] 马晓微[1] 魏一鸣[1] 傅小锋[2] 

机构地区：[1]中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所,北京100080 [2]中国21世纪议程管理中心,北京100089

出　　处：《系统工程》2004年第3期34-39,共6页Systems Engineering

基　　金："十五"国家科技攻关计划重点项目 (2 0 0 1 - BA6 0 8B- 1 5 )

摘　　要：在可持续发展过程中 ,发展是基础 ,协调是关键 ;如何在有限的资源条件下 ,实现经济的永续、协调发展是我们追求的目标。本文基于可持续发展的 PREEST系统模型 ,首先构建中国经济、资源系统的综合评价指标体系 ;并借助于主成分分析法 ,初步评价中国经济、资源系统在 1 980～ 2 0 0 0年期间的综合发展状况。同时 ,通过回归拟合和协调指数计算 ,对中国经济、资源系统发展的协调状况进行定量分析。最后 ,基于实证研究 ,就中国经济。In the course of the sustainable development, development is the foundation, harmony is the key, and how to achieve the harmony development of economy and resource in China is our final objective. In this essay, based on PREEST system model of the sustainable development, the index system of China economy and resource has been put forward. At the same time, the development status for the system of economy and resource in China during 1980~2000 has been evaluated by dint of the concerned data, and that is in virtue of the principal component analysis. Then, the harmony status of China economy and resource system has been analyzed recurring to the regression fit and harmony calculation. Finally, some advices have been given based on the demonstration research.

关 键 词：可持续发展 经济-资源系统 协调性 经济发展 中国 

分 类 号：F124[经济管理—世界经济]