第二松花江流域水电厂综合中长期水文预报的分析研究  

Study on Synthetic Medium and Long-term Hydrologic Forecasting for Second Songhuajiang River

作　　者：范垂仁[1] 谢武贤[1] 关志成 冷雪[3] 范思毅[1] 

机构地区：[1]长春自然灾害预测研究服务中心,吉林长春130022 [2]东北勘测设计研究院,吉林长春130021 [3]吉林省水文水资源局,吉林长春130022

出　　处：《水文》2004年第2期31-34,54,共5页Journal of China Hydrology

摘　　要：基于对第二松花江流域上游小山、松山、两江水电站中长期水文预报研究成果,论述了综合中长期水文预报的研究思路和定性预报、定量预报的分析研究方法。该研究通过2002年实践检验,具有较高的预报精度。According to the study on synthetic medium and long-term hydrologic forecasting for Xiaoshan, Songshan and Liangjiang hydropower station situated on the upper reaches of Second Songhuajiang River, the consideration of study on synthetic medium and long-term hydrologic forecasting and the method of qualitative and quantitative runoff forecasting is introduced in this paper. Through applying the study in 2002, the result shows that the achievement is applicable.

关 键 词：中长期水文预报 水文统计 环流特征量 太阳黑子 第二松花江 

分 类 号：P338.2[天文地球—水文科学]