中国区域经济增长趋同与分异研究  

A STUDY ON REGIONAL ECONOMIC GROWTH CONVERGENCE AND DIVERGENCE IN CHINA

作　　者：覃成林[1] 

机构地区：[1]河南大学环境与规划学院,开封475001

出　　处：《人文地理》2004年第3期36-40,共5页Human Geography

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(编号:40171025)成果之一

摘　　要：本文对改革开放以来我国区域经济增长过程的实证分析表明,1978-1990年我国的区域经济增长表现为σ趋同,在1990-1999年期间则没有出现σ趋同,却表现为分异。与此相对应,1978-1990年我国的区域经济增长也发生了β趋同,趋同的速度在2.2％以上。这个速度与国外学者关于β趋同速度在2％左右的结论相接近。但是,1990-1999年我国区域经济增长的β趋同系数却为正值,表明这个时期我国区域经济增长并没有出现β趋同,而是出现了分异。就1978-1999年的总体情况看,我国区域经济增长存在着β趋同,不过β趋同的速度很小,只略高于0.9％。在1978-1999年期间,我国的区域经济增长存在着明显的俱乐部趋同现象。因此,在实施西部大开发战略的同时,国家的区域政策还必须根据变化了的区域经济格局,采取有针对性的分区调控措施,才能够有效促进全国区域经济协调发展。By positive analysis on the process of regional economic growth in China since the opening and reform policies putting into practice, it is found that there was σ convergence among regions from 1978 to 1990, and there was a tendency of divergence for the regional economic growth from 1990 to 1999. There was β convergence with a rate of 2.2 percent per year among regions from 1978 to 1990. However, the β index was positive from 1990 to 1999. The result shows that there was no β convergence, but divergence for the regional economic growth was obvious in China during this period. As for the whole situation, there was β convergence among regions in China from 1978 to 1999, but the rate of convergence was small and just 0.9%. There was obviously club convergence among regions during the same period. There were two kinds of convergence clubs. One kind of the clubs was consisted of regions with higher levels of economic development which included Shanghai, Beijing, Tian-jin, Liaoning, Hebei, Shandong, Jiansu, Zhejiang, Fujian and Guangdong. Another kind of clubs was consisted of regions with lower levels of economic development. From 1978 to 1990, the factors resulting in the σ convergence were that the members of regional group with middle-high relative GDP per capita increased, the economic development levels of regional group with high relative GDP per capita (exclude Guangdong) decreased, and the economic development levels of the most members of regional groups with middle-low relative GDP per capita or low relative GDP per capita increased. From 1990 to 1999, the factor resulting in divergence were that the members and economic development levels of the regional group with high relative GDP per capita were both increased, the members of the regional group with low relative GDP per capita increased, but the economic development levels of them decreased. By the end of twenty century, there were distinctly polarizing phenomenon among regions in China. Therefore, on the one hand China should implement the West d

关 键 词：区域经济增长 趋同 分异 Σ趋同 Β趋同 俱乐部趋同 

分 类 号：K902[历史地理—人文地理学]