亚洲货币联盟可行性研究——东亚实际产出波动的冲击分析  

A Study on the Feasibility of Asian Monetary Union ——An Analysis on the Shocks of Real Output Fluctuation in East Asia

作　　者：李晓洁[1] 

机构地区：[1]上海财经大学金融学院,上海200433

出　　处：《财经研究》2004年第6期44-56,共13页Journal of Finance and Economics

摘　　要：区域货币联盟以及区域货币合作是近年来国际金融领域颇为关注的问题之一,关于它的研究对于防范金融危机、促进区域经济发展具有现实意义。本文以VAR模型分析包括中国在内的9个东亚国家与地区总需求冲击和总供给冲击的对称性,并通过与欧洲经验数据的比较,判断东亚实现区域货币联盟的可行性。Regional monetary union and regional monetary cooperation have been one of the most concerned issues in the field of international finance, and the study on which is full of realistic significance to guard against financial crises and to promote the development of regional economy. The paper analyses the symmetry in aggregate demand shocks and aggregate supply shocks in nine Asian countries and regions including China with VAR approach, and assesses the feasibility for east Asia to realize regional monetary union on the basis of comparison with European experience.

关 键 词：亚洲货币联盟 冲击 VAR模型 

分 类 号：F829.6[经济管理—财政学]