中国城镇化、工业化与经济增长的动力机制研究——基于D3NLDS模型  

A Study on the Dynamic Mechanism of China’s Urbanization, Industrialization, and Economic Growth—Based on D3NLDS Model

作　　者：杨超 杨晓彤 

机构地区：[1]云南财经大学统计与数学学院,云南 昆明

出　　处：《应用数学进展》2023年第8期3548-3556,共9页Advances in Applied Mathematics

摘　　要：城镇化、工业化与经济增长之间的关系是激发中国内需潜力、增强消费活力、助力经济高质量发展的关键。本文基于1978~2022年城镇化率、工业产值增加值和GDP数据,使用动态经济学框架建立三维非线性动力系统(D3NLDS)模型对中国城镇化、工业化和经济发展三者之间的非线性关系进行分析。结果显示:城镇化率、工业产值增加值和GDP所构成的系统存在着同步的变动关系,具有稳定的均衡点;当前中国城镇化、工业化和经济发展均已比较接近稳定值,但仍有一定的提升空间。The relationship between urbanization, industrialization, and economic growth is the key to stimu-lating China’s domestic demand potential, enhancing consumption vitality, and promoting high-quality economic development. This article is based on data on urbanization rate, industrial output value-added, and GDP from 1978 to 2022, and uses a dynamic economic framework to es-tablish a three-dimensional nonlinear dynamic system (D3NLDS) model to analyze the nonlinear relationship between urbanization, industrialization, and economic development in China. The re-sults show that the system composed of urbanization rate, added value of industrial output value and GDP has a synchronous change relationship, and has a stable Equant point;Currently, China’s urbanization, industrialization, and economic development are relatively close to stable values, but there is still some room for improvement.

关 键 词：城镇化 工业化 经济增长 非线性动力系统 

分 类 号：F29[经济管理—国民经济]