跨境电商综合试验区政策对产业链韧性的影响研究  

Research on the Impact of the Policies of Integrated Pilot Zones for Cross-Border E-Commerce on Industrial Chain Resilience

作　　者：王红玉 王思予 刘思佳 朱天浩 

机构地区：[1]南京邮电大学经济学院,江苏 南京

出　　处：《电子商务评论》2025年第1期3245-3260,共16页E-Commerce Letters

摘　　要：近年来,跨境电商的迅猛发展,跨境电商综试区作为我国重要制度安排,已然成为产业链韧性提升的重要驱动力。本文基于2010~2022年城市面板数据,采用双重差分法实证检验了跨境电商综合试验区对产业链韧性的影响效应及其作用机制。研究发现,跨境电商综合试验区显著推动了产业链韧性,该结论经安慰剂检验、排除其他政策、反事实检验等一系列稳健性检验后依然可靠。异质性分析表明,跨境电商综合试验区对产业链韧性的提升效应在东部沿海地区、市场化程度高、互联网普及率高的地区更为显著,同时跨境电商综试区对产业链恢复力的赋能效应更显著。机制检验发现,跨境电商综试区能够通过推动产业结构升级、驱动技术创新和提高金融发展水平等作用渠道提升产业链韧性。本研究旨在促进跨境综合试验区政策的优化完善,加速现代化产业体系的构建进程和推动新质生产力的培育与发展提供参考。In recent years, with the rapid expansion of cross-border e-commerce, the integrated pilot zones for cross-border e-commerce in China, as a crucial institutional arrangement, have become a major driver for enhancing industrial chain resilience. Utilizing urban panel data from 2010 to 2022, this paper empirically examines the impact and mechanism of these zones on industrial chain resilience via the difference-in-differences method. The results indicate that the zones significantly improve industrial chain resilience, and this conclusion holds after a series of robustness tests like placebo tests, exclusion of other policies, and counterfactual tests. Heterogeneity analysis shows that the promoting effect is more prominent in the eastern coastal areas, regions with high marketization and high Internet penetration, and the effect on industrial chain recovery is also more significant. The mechanism test reveals that the zones can strengthen industrial chain resilience by means of

关 键 词：跨境电商综合试验区 产业链韧性 双重差分法 新质生产力 

分 类 号：F42[经济管理—产业经济]