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作 者:黄慕宇 张胜庆 钱皓磊 张辛欣 刘荣莉 陈婧 史文 郭红钧 苏健 李志立 曹家楷 赵轩 罗梦莹 韩宗桥 杨东
机构地区:[1]长安汽车金融战略创新部,重庆 [2]长安汽车金融资产管理部,重庆 [3]长安汽车金融综合管理部,重庆 [4]重庆工程职业技术学院通识教育学院,重庆 [5]重庆西心助心教育科技有限公司,重庆 [6]西南大学心理学部,重庆
出 处:《金融》2024年第1期336-343,共8页Finance
摘 要:本文基于行为金融学的研究方法和思路,研究MBTI (Myers–Briggs Type Indicator,迈尔斯–布里格斯类型指标)人格特征对车贷违约结果的影响。研究主要通过两个步骤进行:首先,通过专家他评的方法,根据贷后通话录音评估长安汽车金融公司844名车贷客户在MBTI四个人格维度上的行为表现,获取其在四个人格维度上的得分;此后,通过逐步前进逻辑回归的统计分析方法,检验四个人格维度对预测车贷违约结果的模型是否有贡献。结果发现,贷款客户在判断–知觉和实感–直觉两个维度上的行为倾向影响其最终还款结果:即在贷后沟通中越强调时间及现实后果的客户,更不易还款违约。The research was conducted based on the research methodology and ideas of behavioral finance, which investigated the impact of MBTI (Myers-Briggs Type Indicator) personality traits on automobile loan default behavior. The data was collected and analyzed in two steps: first, the behavioral tendency of 844 automobile loan borrowers of Chang’an Automobile Finance Company on the four personality dimensions of MBTI was assessed based on the post-loan call recordings through the method of expert assessment, and their scores on the four personality dimensions were obtained;thereafter, the four personality dimensions were examined through the method of stepwise logistic regression for statistical analysis to see whether they have a contribution to the model for predicting the risk of loan defaults. It was found that loan borrowers’ behavioral tendencies on the judging-perceiving and sensing-intuition dimensions influenced their final repayment outcomes: i.e., borrowers who placed more emphasis on time and realistic consequences in post-loan communication were less likely to default on their repayments.
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