“一带一路”背景下山东省与东盟国家贸易格局演变和影响因素分析  

Analysis on the Evolution and Influencing Factors of Trade Pattern between Shandong Province and ASEAN Countries under the Background of “One Belt and One Road”

作　　者：谷岳 

机构地区：[1]哈尔滨师范大学地理科学学院,黑龙江 哈尔滨

出　　处：《地理科学研究》2023年第6期851-856,共6页Geographical Science Research

摘　　要：山东省作为中国东部沿海省份,且作为“一带一路”建设的海上战略支点和新亚欧大陆桥经济走廊沿线重点地区,优势明显。利用贸易强度指数和HM指数,分析2008~2019年山东省与东盟国家贸易格局,并分析其演化规律,得出山东省同东盟地区贸易往来日益密切,且16年以后一直处于贸易逆差地位;从进口格局来看,逐渐从泰国、印度尼西亚转变为泰国和马来西亚;从出口格局来看,逐渐从新加坡和马来西亚转变为印度尼西亚和泰国;同时山东省对东盟国家贸易市场重要性不断上升,但依赖度一直处于较低水平的结论。并且总结出影响山东省与东盟国家贸易格局的影响因素,主要包括地理与交通因素、政策因素、产业结构因素和人才文化交流因素等,以对推动山东省与东盟地区贸易格局提供更具效率的决策和手段支撑。Shandong Province, as a coastal province in the east of China, serves as a maritime strategic fulcrum for the “Belt and Road” construction and a key point along the New Eurasian Continental Bridge Economic Corridor. Regions have obvious advantages. Using the trade intensity index and the HM index to analyze the trade pattern between Shandong Province and ASEAN countries from 2008 to 2019, and analyze its evolutionary law. It is concluded that Shandong Province has increasingly close trade relations with the ASEAN region, and has been in a trade deficit after 16 years;In terms of import pattern, it has gradually changed from Thailand and Indonesia to Thailand and Malaysia;in terms of export pattern, it has gradually changed from Singapore and Malaysia to Indonesia and Thailand. At the same time, Shandong Province has been increasing in importance to the trade market of ASEAN countries, but its dependence has always been conclusion at a lower level. And summarized the influencing factors affecting the trade pattern between Shandong Province and ASEAN countries, mainly including geographical and transportation factors, policy factors, industrial structure factors, and talent cultural exchange factors, etc., in order to provide a more efficient way to promote the trade pattern between Shandong Province and the ASEAN region for decision-making and means support.

关 键 词：贸易强度指数 HM指数 贸易格局 山东省 

分 类 号：F75[经济管理—国际贸易]