“减量化”背景下化肥行业推动农业综合效益提升的影响因素与路径探索——基于最小二乘法回归分析模型  

Exploring the Influencing Factors and Paths for the Fertilizer Industry to Promote the Improvement of Comprehensive Agricultural Benefits under the Background of “Reduction”—Regression Analysis Model Based on Least Squares Method

作　　者：李晨 杨蕴丽 

机构地区：[1]内蒙古师范大学经济管理学院,内蒙古 呼和浩特

出　　处：《农业科学》2025年第3期241-248,共8页Hans Journal of Agricultural Sciences

基　　金：内蒙古师范大学基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目“数字经济赋能草原畜牧业现代化重点问题研究”(项目号23JBZD002);内蒙古自治区研究生精品课程项目“高级政治经济学”(项目号JP20231012)。

摘　　要：农业全产业链综合效益提升是建设农业强国的重要环节。在不同发展阶段,化肥行业促进农业综合效益提升的实现机制不同。在“减量化”背景下,基于最小二乘法回归分析模型(Least Squares Regression Analysis Model),研究化肥行业推动农业综合效益提升的影响因素,结果发现:行业监管体系的完善程度和化肥批发价格高低对提升农业综合效益具有重大影响。建议加强化肥生产、销售和使用环节的监管力度,从成本、市场供需和政策等多方面控制化肥批发价格。Improving the comprehensive benefits of the entire agricultural industry chain is an important link in building a strong agricultural country. At different stages of development, the mechanism by which the fertilizer industry promotes the improvement of comprehensive agricultural benefits varies. In the context of “reduction”, based on the Least Squares Regression Analysis Model, this study investigates the influencing factors of the fertilizer industry in promoting the improvement of agricultural comprehensive benefits. The results show that the completeness of the industry regulatory system and the high or low wholesale prices of fertilizers have a significant impact on improving agricultural comprehensive benefits. It is suggested to strengthen the supervision of the production, sales, and use of fertilizers, and control the wholesale price of fertilizers from multiple aspects such as cost, market supply and demand, and policies.

关 键 词：化肥行业 最小二乘法回归分析模型 农业综合效益 

分 类 号：F323.2[经济管理—产业经济] F323.3