长三角城市群碳排放与经济增长关系的实证研究  

Empirical Study on the Relationship between Carbon Emissions and Economic Growth of Urban Agglomeration in Yangtze River Delta

作　　者：付梦晗 宿洁[1] 周玲[2] 

机构地区：[1]中央财经大学,管理科学与工程学院,北京 [2]北京师范大学,社会发展与公共政策学院,北京

出　　处：《现代管理》2022年第8期921-929,共9页Modern Management

摘　　要：对城市群进行碳排放研究能够更好地了解区域间的低碳发展现状,进而协调规划城市低碳发展和经济高质量增长。基于2000~2020年长三角城市群的碳排放和人均生产总值数据,应用环境库兹涅茨曲线模型对碳排放与经济增长的关系进行拟合,从城市群总体、都市圈、城市三个层面对两者的相关关系及影响因素进行定量评价与比较分析。在城市群层面人均碳排放随人均GDP呈现先增后减的关系;五个都市圈的碳排放与经济增长关系有明显差异,原因在于经济发展水平差距和协调治理的缺陷,仅杭州都市圈符合环境库兹涅茨曲线;不同城市的碳排放水平受产业结构和政策影响而不同。建议优化产业结构,加强监管力度,政策制定应综合考虑城市特色和区域协调。Studying the carbon emission of urban agglomeration can better understand the current situation of low-carbon development among regions, and then coordinate the planning of urban low-carbon development and high-quality economic growth. Based on the data of carbon emissions and per capita GDP of the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration from 2000 to 2020, the relationship between carbon emissions and economic growth was fitted by using the environmental Kuznets curve model, and the correlation and influencing factors between the two were quantitatively evaluated and compared from three levels of urban agglomeration, metropolitan circle and city. At the level of urban agglomeration, per capita carbon emissions first increase and then decrease with per capita GDP;the relationship between carbon emissions and economic growth in five metropolitan areas is obviously different, which is due to the gap of economic development level and the defects of coordinated governance. Only Hangzhou metropolitan area conforms to the environmental Kuznets curve. Different cities’ carbon emission levels are affected by industrial structure and policies. Cities should optimize industrial structure, strengthen supervision, and comprehensively consider urban characteristics and regional coordination when formulating policies. 

关 键 词：碳排放 长三角城市群 都市圈 环境库兹涅茨曲线 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济]