川渝地区碳排放效率测度及其影响因素研究  

Research on the Measurement of Carbon Emission Efficiency and Its Influencing Factors in Sichuan-Chongqing Region

作　　者：刘与秋 

机构地区：[1]云南财经大学物流与管理工程学院,云南 昆明

出　　处：《管理科学与工程》2025年第1期260-272,共13页Management Science and Engineering

摘　　要：在新的历史发展阶段,经济发展迫切需要低碳转型,节能减排和绿色低碳已成为我国经济发展的重中之重,提高碳排放效率是实现“双碳”目标的同时保持经济高质量发展的关键。本文基于2003~2021年川渝地区22个城市面板数据,采用考虑非期望产出的Super-SBM模型以及Global-Malmquist-Luenberger指数法测算碳排放效率,利用面板Tobit模型探究了区域碳排放效率的因素。结果表明:(1) 碳排放效率变化呈“U”型趋势,已经完成由恶化到进步的转变,碳排放绩效呈加速提高的态势;(2) GML指数显示,碳排放效率增速经历了先迅速上升后逐渐放缓的趋势;(3) 效率分解——2009年后川渝地区整体碳排放水平的提高,由单维的技术进步贡献转变为技术效率和技术进步双重贡献;(4) 土地结构、工业产业结构、政府干预程度、城镇化水平对川渝地区碳排放效率具有显著负向相应。绿色技术创新能力、经济发展水平对川渝地区碳排放效率具有显著正向效应。In the new historical development stage, economic development urgently needs low-carbon transformation, energy saving, emission reduction and green low-carbon has become the top priority of China’s economic development, and improving carbon emission efficiency is the key to achieve the “double carbon” goal while maintaining high-quality economic development. Based on the panel data of 22 cities in Sichuan and Chongqing region from 2003 to 2021, this paper uses the Super-SBM model considering non-expected output and the Global-Malmquist-Luenberger index method to measure carbon emission efficiency, and uses the panel Tobit model to explore the factors of regional carbon emission efficiency. The results show that: (1) The change of carbon emission efficiency shows a U-shaped trend, which has completed the transformation from deterioration to progress, and the carbon emission performance shows an accelerated trend of improvement;(2) GML index shows

关 键 词：碳排放效率 TOBIT回归 影响因素 SBM模型 川渝地区 

分 类 号：F42[经济管理—产业经济]