河南省小麦产量影响因素研究  

Study on the Factors Affecting Wheat Yield in Henan Province

作　　者：贺宁 杨茂[1] 

机构地区：[1]河南工业大学,河南郑州

出　　处：《统计学与应用》2019年第2期334-340,共7页Statistical and Application

基　　金：国家社科基金培育项目(2018SKPY08)。

摘　　要：河南是全国重要的粮食主产区,也是全国小麦的重要产区。河南省小麦产量的稳定不仅对本省的粮食生产有重要意义,对保障全国粮食供给,维护国家粮食安全也具有重要意义。本文根据1980~2013年以来河南省小麦的产量、小麦播种面积、有效灌溉面积、化肥使用量、农业机械数量、农业从业人数、农业技术进步、农业政策支持等生产要素的数据,运用多元线性回归分析、逐步回归分析等分析方法,对河南省小麦生产因素和产量进行分析和预测。Henan is an important grain producingarea in the country and an important production area for wheat in the country.The stability of wheat production in Henan Province is not only important forthe province’s grain production,but also important for safeguarding nationalfood supply and maintaining national food security.This paper uses multiplelinear regression based on data on production factors such as wheat yield,wheat planting area,effective irrigated area,fertilizer use,number ofagricultural machinery,agricultural employment,agricultural technology advancement,and agricultural policy support in Henan Province since 1980-2013.Analysis andstepwise regression analysis were used to analyze and predict wheat productionfactors and yields in Henan Province.

关 键 词：河南省 小麦产量 影响因素 

分 类 号：F3[经济管理—产业经济]