浙江省房地产价格波动与国民经济相互影响的机制研究——基于二类扩展下的投入产出模型  

Study on the Interaction Mechanism between Real Estate Price Fluctuation and National Economy in Zhejiang Province—Based on the Input-Output Model under the Two-Class Extension

作　　者：俞泽慧 付荣[1] 徐子萱 

机构地区：[1]杭州电子科技大学经济学院,浙江 杭州

出　　处：《统计学与应用》2023年第1期235-245,共11页Statistical and Application

摘　　要：本文在简单投入产出价格模型的基础上,推导在房地产供求关系以及政府调控影响下的投入产出模型,并加入居民部门和政府部门,对模型进行二类扩展。在数据运算及分析过程中,利用2012年、2017年浙江省投入产出表数据,在投入产出价格的基本模型与二类扩展模型下,对比了浙江省房地产与其他部门之间价格影响关系。最终从货币金融角度和政府角度提出建议:注意货币政策的前瞻性和力度、大力发展多元化的房地产金融市场,并希望房地产市场能达到在政府调控下的自由等。Based on the simple input-output price model, this paper derives the input-output model under the influence of real estate supply and demand and government regulation, and adds residential departments and government departments to expand the model in two categories. In the process of data calculation and analysis, the input-output table data of Zhejiang Province in 2012 and 2017 were used to compare the price influence relationship between real estate and other sectors under the basic model of input-output price and the second-class extended model. Finally, suggestions are put forward from the perspective of monetary finance and government: pay attention to the foresight and strength of monetary policy, vigorously develop diversified real estate financial market, and hope that the real estate market can achieve freedom under the control of the government.

关 键 词：房地产 价格波动 投入产出价格分析 二类扩展模型 

分 类 号：F29[经济管理—国民经济]