高铁对云南山地旅游经济发展的影响研究——基于虚拟变量模型的检验  

Research on the Impact of High-Speed Railway on the Development of Mountain Tourism Economy in Yunnan—Test Based on Dummy Variable Model

作　　者：李冉 陈明勰 陈梦婷 李茂玉 

机构地区：[1]云南民族大学管理学院,云南 昆明 [2]西南财经大学工商管理学院,四川 成都

出　　处：《统计学与应用》2024年第3期841-850,共10页Statistical and Application

摘　　要：2016年12月28日,云南省跨入了高铁时代。交通基础设施的完善在区域发展中发挥着重要作用,并为旅游业的发展奠定了坚实基础。为了从产业的角度探究高铁开通对云南山地旅游经济发展的贡献,本文使用云南省2005~2021年的时间序列数据,建立了影响云南山地旅游总收入的虚拟变量模型,结果显示,高铁开通对云南山地旅游经济有显著的促进作用,平均使得云南山地旅游总收入增加1.13亿元。本文研究高速铁路对云南山地旅游经济发展的影响,首先丰富了高速铁路对山地旅游的经济影响的理论内容和建模内容,其次增加了高铁对区域经济影响视角研究的多样性。On December 28, 2016, Yunnan Province entered the era of high-speed rail. The improvement of transportation infrastructure plays an important role in regional development and lays a solid foundation for the development of tourism. In order to explore the contribution of high-speed rail to the development of Yunnan’s mountain tourism economy from the perspective of industry, this paper uses the time series data of Yunnan Province from 2005 to 2021 to establish a dummy variable model affecting the total income of Yunnan mountain tourism, and the results show that the opening of high-speed rail has a significant role in promoting the development of Yunnan’s mountain tourism economy, and increases the total income of Yunnan’s mountain tourism by 113 million yuan on average. This paper studies the impact of high-speed railway on the development of mountain tourism economy in Yunnan, which firstly enriches the theoretical and modeling content of the economic impact of high-speed railway on mountain tourism, and secondly increases the diversity of perspectives on the impact of high-speed rail on regional economy.

关 键 词：山地经济 高铁 云南省 虚拟变量模型 比较分析 

分 类 号：F59[经济管理—旅游管理]