土地市场、地方债务与房价波动关系的实证研究  

An Empirical Study on the Relationship between Land Market, Local Debt and House Price Fluctuations

作　　者：陈杰 邓亚维 

机构地区：[1]西华大学经济学院,四川 成都

出　　处：《可持续发展》2022年第2期472-478,共7页Sustainable Development

摘　　要：自“分税制”以来,我国地方政府财政收入与财政支出方面出现巨大的缺口,进一步导致了地方债与土地财政问题,地方债务,土地价格与房价关联密切,本文以此为背景,通过对2011~2015年我国27个省份面板数据分析发现这两个因素对房价均有正向影响,并且这一机制存在明显的省级差异,地方债务对房产价格的影响更为明显。本文在此基础上提出进一步完善分税制财政体制;加快推进“房地产税”的立法工作;根据地方特点实施差异化房地产调控政策这三点建议。Since the “tax-sharing system”, there has been a huge gap between local government fiscal revenue and fiscal expenditure, which has further led to local debt and land finance problems. Local government debt, land prices and housing prices are closely related. Based on this background, in this article, we analyzed the panel data of 27 provinces in 2011~2015 and found that both these factors have a positive impact on housing prices, and there are obvious provincial differences in the mechanism, and the impact of local debt on property prices is more obvious. On this basis, this paper have three recommends: proposing to further improve the fiscal system of tax sharing system;to accelerate the legislative work of promoting the “real estate tax”;and carry out the implementation of the differential real estate regulation policy according to the local characteristics.

关 键 词：土地财政 房价水平 地方债务 国有土地出让收入 

分 类 号：F293.35[经济管理—国民经济]