中原城市群综合承载力评价  

Evaluation of the Comprehensive Carrying Capacity of the Central Plains City Agglomeration

作　　者：胡雅婷 花俊[1] 

机构地区：[1]东南大学经济管理学院,江苏 南京

出　　处：《世界经济探索》2023年第3期233-240,共8页World Economic Research

摘　　要：中原城市群是我国的交通枢纽位置,综合实力强劲,涵盖五省30个地级市。本文基于2010~2021年中原城市群城市相关数据对其综合承载力进行研究,有利于促进中部地区崛起,为有关部门提供可供借鉴的决策参考。本文选取经济、资源、环境、基础设施、人口、公共服务以及外贸七个指标构建中原城市群城市综合承载力指标体系,下设20个二级指标,借助全排列多边形图示指标法对2010~2021年综合承载力以及各子系统承载力进行综合评价。评价结果表明:2010~2021年中原城市群综合承载力呈现“M”型变化趋势,子系统中环境承载力测量数值最高,外贸承载力得分最低,其他子系统承载力数值相近。根据评价结果,本文认为要积极提升城市综合承载力,应当从改善各子系统承载力出发,优化系统结构,从而实现中原城市群的长期可持续发展。The Central Plains Urban Agglomeration is a transportation hub location in China with strong comprehensive strength, covering 30 prefecture-level cities in five provinces. This paper studies the comprehensive bearing capacity of the Central Plains Urban Agglomeration based on the data related to the cities from 2010~2021, which is conducive to promoting the rise of the central region and providing reference for the relevant departments to make decisions. This paper selected seven indicators of economy, resources, environment, infrastructure, population, public services and foreign trade to build a comprehensive bearing capacity index system with 20 secondary indicators for the Central Plains Urban Agglomeration. Then this paper made a comprehensive evaluation of the comprehensive bearing capacity and the bearing capacity of each subsystem from 2010 to 2021 with the full-arrangement polygon graphical index method. The evaluation results show that the comprehensive carrying capacity of the Central Plains Urban Agglomeration from 2010 to 2021 shows an “M”-shaped trend, with the highest value of environmental carrying capacity, the lowest score of foreign trade carrying capacity and similar values of other subsystems. Based on the evaluation results, this paper suggests that in order to actively improve the comprehensive carrying capacity of cities, we should start from improving the carrying capacity of each subsystem and optimize the system structure, so as to realize the long-term sustainable development of the Central Plains Urban Agglomeration.

关 键 词：中原城市群 综合承载力 全排列多边形图示指标法 

分 类 号：F29[经济管理—国民经济]