出 处:《Open Journal of Modelling and Simulation》2020年第4期73-87,共15页建模与仿真(英文)
摘 要:The Bertalanffy-Pütter (BP) five-parameter growth model provides a versatile framework for the modeling of growth. Using data from a growth experiment in literature about the average size-at-age of 24 species of tropical trees over ten years in the same area, we identified their best-fit BP-model parameters. While different species had different best-fit exponent-pairs, there was a model with a good fit to 21 (87.5%) of the data </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">(</span><span style="font-family:""><span style="font-family:Verdana;">“Good fit” means a </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">normalized root-mean-squared-error <i></span><i><span style="font-family:Verdana;">NRMSE</span></i><span style="font-family:Verdana;"></i> below 2.5%. This threshold was the 95% quantile of the lognormal distribution that was fitted to the <i></span><i><span style="font-family:Verdana;">NRMSE</span></i><span style="font-family:Verdana;"></i> values for the best-fit models for the data)</span></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">.</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> In view of the sigmoidal character of this model despite the early stand we discuss </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">whether </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">the setting of the growth experiment may have impeded growth.The Bertalanffy-Pütter (BP) five-parameter growth model provides a versatile framework for the modeling of growth. Using data from a growth experiment in literature about the average size-at-age of 24 species of tropical trees over ten years in the same area, we identified their best-fit BP-model parameters. While different species had different best-fit exponent-pairs, there was a model with a good fit to 21 (87.5%) of the data </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">(</span><span style="font-family:""><span style="font-family:Verdana;">“Good fit” means a </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">normalized root-mean-squared-error <i></span><i><span style="font-family:Verdana;">NRMSE</span></i><span style="font-family:Verdana;"></i> below 2.5%. This threshold was the 95% quantile of the lognormal distribution that was fitted to the <i></span><i><span style="font-family:Verdana;">NRMSE</span></i><span style="font-family:Verdana;"></i> values for the best-fit models for the data)</span></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">.</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> In view of the sigmoidal character of this model despite the early stand we discuss </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">whether </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">the setting of the growth experiment may have impeded growth.
关 键 词:Bertalanffy-Pütter (BP) Differential Equation Growth Model Normalized Root-Mean-Squared-Error (NRMSE) Simulated Annealing
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