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作 者:李响[1] 姜丽静[1] 倪金迪[1] 孙英杰[1] 沈国锋[1] 倪菊平[1] 蔡振林[1]
机构地区:[1]201199,复旦大学附属闵行医院 上海市闵行区中心医院ICU
出 处:《中国综合临床》2015年第8期-,共4页Clinical Medicine of China
基 金:上海市卫生局科研课题计划项目
摘 要:目的 调查ICU老年卒中患者发生卒中相关性肺炎(SAP)后30 d内死亡的预测因素.方法 回顾性分析116例入住ICU发生SAP的老年患者的临床资料,对30 d内死亡的预测因素通过变量分析法进行分析.结果 SAP组患者较对照组患者住院时间延长[(27±8)d与(12±5)d,t=11.30,P=0.002],SAP组病死率高于非SAP组[37.9% (44/116)与22.0% (22/100),x2=6.423,P=0.011].SAP最常见的病原微生物是肺炎克雷伯菌、鲍曼不动杆菌、大肠埃希菌等革兰阴性菌.基础疾病、较高CRUB-65评分、低格拉斯哥昏迷评分(GCS)、呛咳、机械通气、休克和高血浆C反应蛋白(CRp)水平是与SAP预后相关的主要影响因素(P均<0.05),其OR值分别为2.778(95%CI:1.205~6.401)、1.978(95%CI:0.871~11.098)、3.601(95% CI:0.244 ~9.477)、3.020(95% CI:1.305 ~ 10.603)、2.654(95%Cl:1.176~5.990)、2.636(95%CI:1.164~5.969)和2.333(95%CI:1.046~5.206).采用COX回归分析发现,GCS<9分是SAP患者30 d内死亡唯一危险因素(HR=7.23.95%CI:2.24~20.11,P=0.001).结论 卒中相关性肺炎是ICU老年卒中患者的严重并发症之一,可以影响患者预后转归.Objective To investigate the risk factors for death within 30 days of stroke associated pneumonia(SAP) in elderly patients of the intensive care unit (ICU).Methods Clinical data of 116 patients with SAP who were admitted to ICU were reviewed.The predicting factors of death within 30 days were analyzed through variable analysis method.Results The hospitalization periods of the SAP group and control group were (27±8) d and (12±5) d,the difference was statistically significant(t =1 1.30,P =0.002).The most common pathogenic bacteria in SAP were Klebsiella pneumoniae,Bauman Acinetobacter,Escherichia coli,and gram negative bacteria.There was significant difference between the two groups in term of mortality rate(37.9%(44/ 116) of SAP group,22.0% (22/100) of control group,x2 =6.423,P =0.011).Logistic regression analysis showed that basic diseases(OR =2.778,95% CI:1.205-6.401),high CRUB-65 score (OR =1.978,95% CI:0.871-11.098),lower Glasgow coma score(GCS) (OR=3.601,95%CI:0.244-9.477),bucking(OR=3.020,95%CI:1.305-10.603),mechanical ventilation(OR=2.654,95%CI:1.176-5.990),shock(OR=2.636,95% CI:1.164-5.969) and high plasma CRP level(OR=2.333,95%CI:1.046-5.206) were risk factors for SAP (all P<0.05).In Cox regression analysis,a GCS score of < 9 was an independent risk factor for 30 d mortality of patientswithSAP(HR=7.23,95%Cl:2.24-20.11,P=0.001).Conclusion SAP is one of the serious complications of the elderly hospitalized for the acute stroke in the ICU,which may affect the prognosis of the patients.
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