考虑内在影响关系的不安全行为组织管理控制模型  

Control model of organizational management for unsafe behavior considering intrinsic influence relationship

作　　者：郭海东[1] 李慧民[1] 陈旭[1] 袁鹏飞 GUO Hai-dong;LI Hui-min;CHEN Xu;YUAN Peng-fei(College of Civil Engineering,Xi’an University of Architecture&Technology,Xi’an 710055,China;China Nuclear Industry 24 Consruction CO.,LTD.,Beijing 101601,China)

机构地区：[1]西安建筑科技大学土木工程学院,西安710055 [2]中国核工业二四建设有限公司,北京101601

出　　处：《控制与决策》2020年第3期704-712,共9页Control and Decision

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(51178386,51478384);住建部科技项目(2015-R3-003).

摘　　要：针对不安全行为组织管理体系难以长期稳定运行的问题,在充分考虑管理变量之间影响关系的基础上,提出一套不安全行为组织管理的控制模型.由于变量之间影响关系的存在,待改进变量及其前置变量的不足均应被识别为组织管理漏洞,且变量的重要性应兼顾自身重要性与变量之间的影响强度.基于此研究思路,首先,结合行为安全"2-4"模型与反馈控制理论,确定控制模型的范围、变量、构建步骤及运行流程;然后,通过三角模糊数与WINGS(weighted influence non-linear gauge system)算法的结合,在考虑主观判断存在不精确性的同时,实现变量之间影响关系的刻画以及变量自身重要性与变量间影响强度的融合,进而给出识别管理漏洞及确定控制措施次序的方法.案例分析表明,该控制模型有助于提高管理漏洞识别的全面性与控制措施次序的合理性.The organizational management system of unsafe behavior is generally difficult to operate stably for a long time.This paper proposes a control model of organizational management for unsafe behavior,based on the full consideration of the relationship between management variables.Due to the existing influence relationship between variables,the deficiency of the to be improved variables and their antecedents should be identified as the vulnerability in organizational management,the importance of the variable itself and the influence intensity between variables should be taken into account.Armed with this research idea,first of all,the scope,the variables,the construction steps and the operation process of the control model are determined by combining the behavior safety"2-4"model and the feedback control theory.Then combining triangular fuzzy number with the weighted influence non-linear gauge system(WINGS)algorithm while considering the uncertainty of subjective judgment,the influence relationship between variables is described,and the integration of their own importance and the influence strength between variables is realized.Moreover,the paper gives the method of identifying management vulnerabilities and determining control measures.The case study shows that the control model is helpful to improve the capacity of identifying the vulnerability in organizational management and the rationality of sequencing the control measures.

关 键 词：不安全行为 组织管理 影响关系 控制模型 控制策略 WINGS算法 

分 类 号：TP13[自动化与计算机技术—控制理论与控制工程]