主动开战、被动应战或慑而不战——美国崛起的战略智慧及对我国的启示  

Attack, Defend or Be War-frightened--Strategic Wisdom in the Course of the Rise of the US and the Implications for China

作　　者：熊志勇[1] 

机构地区：[1]外交学院外交学与外事管理系

出　　处：《学术前沿》2013年第Z1期6-16,共11页Frontiers

摘　　要：美国在崛起的关键阶段成功地避免了与原有霸权国、邻国、意识形态不同大国的战争,并主导建立了一系列维护世界和平的机制,但还是未能避免与走旧式崛起道路的德国和日本的战争。中国目前与一些邻国面临着领土纠纷,与霸权国和意识形态不同的国家美国还存在着深层次的不信任,中国周边环境也不平静,还有国家统一问题没有解决,至今尚未把解决国际矛盾的理念变成机制,因此,中国更存在发生战争的可能。The US successfully avoided war with former hegemonic countries, neighboring countries, and major countries with different ideologies when it was at the critical stage of rising as a new power. It also led other countries in establishing a series of mechanisms targeted at maintaining world peace. However, it failed to avoid war with Germany and Japan which took a traditional path of emergence. China is now engaged in territorial disputes with a number of neighboring countries and at the same time has deep distrust in the US, a hegemonic power that adopts a far different ideology. Besides, China's neighboring environment is not assuring. The issue of national unity is yet to solve. The concepts it holds on resolving international conflicts still need to be turned into a mechanism. Therefore, China now has a greater possibility of war compared to the rising US in the past.

关 键 词：中国 美国 崛起 战争 

分 类 号：D771.2[政治法律—政治学]