碳交易情景下林地效益可能的变化分析——基于农户杉木地块调查分析  

The Analysis of Forestland Benefit Possible Changes of Different Types in Carbon Trading Situation: Based on Chinese Fir Plot Investigation of Farmer

作　　者：任腾腾[1] 徐秀英[1] 

机构地区：[1]浙江农林大学经济管理学院,浙江临安311300

出　　处：《生态经济（学术版）》2013年第2期158-161,182,共5页Ecological Economy

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(71073148);浙江农林大学科研创新资助项目(3122013240153)

摘　　要：气候变化问题已成为国际社会关注的热点问题之一,为了在全球范围内寻求有效措施减缓气候变暖,碳汇经济的发展已成为必然趋势。文章在系统分析碳交易情景下森林碳汇收益实现对林地收益的影响机理基础上,选取杉木作为代表性树种,基于浙江省实地调查数据,引入杉木生长模型以及改进的Faustmann模型,模拟分析碳交易情景下最佳轮伐期以及林地收益的变化。研究发现,在碳交易情景下,在当前碳价格下,森林的最佳轮伐期不会发生变化,林地效益会有所增加,但是随着碳价格上升森林的最佳轮伐期发生变化,林地效益显著增加。The issue of climate change has become one of the hot issues of concern in the international community. In order to seek effective measures to slow climate warming in the global scope,the development of carbon economic has become an inevitable trend. Based on the system analyzing the impact mechanism of forest carbon income realization on forestland gains in carbon trading situation,select a representative of Chinese fir tree,based on the survey data of Zhejiang Province,introducing the Chinese fir growth model and the improved Faustmann model,simulation analysis the best wheel cutting stage under the different management goal and the change of forest land revenue in different carbon price. The study found that,in carbon trading situation,in the current international carbon price,the best rotation of fir management will not prolong,but as the carbon price rising,the best rotation changes,the forest land expectation value will increase significantly. Carbon income increase and forest land benefit increase.

关 键 词：最佳轮伐期 碳汇收益 林地收益 杉木 

分 类 号：X196[环境科学与工程—环境科学] F326.24[经济管理—产业经济]