中国碳生产率的潜在改进空间--基于外部环境和内部管理视角  

Estimation and decomposition of the potential improvement of carbon productivity from the angle of outer environment and inner management

作　　者：张成[1,2,3] 史丹[3] 王俊杰[4,3] 

机构地区：[1]南京财经大学经济学院,南京210046 [2]国务院参事室参事业务司,北京100006 [3]中国社会科学院工业经济研究所,北京100836 [4]江西财经大学经济学院,南昌330013

出　　处：《资源科学》2015年第6期1218-1229,共12页Resources Science

基　　金：国家社会科学基金青年项目(12CJY008);国家科技支撑计划课题(2012BAC20B08);国家自然科学基金青年项目(71301070);中国社科院重大招标项目:“转变经济发展方式与国家经济安全战略研究”;江苏省333高层次人才第三层次培养计划;江苏省“青蓝工程”中青年学术带头人培养计划;江苏省青年社科英才培养计划

摘　　要：碳生产率水平不仅依赖于CO2排放量本身,而且取决于利用各种要素的经济产出能力,但鲜见有文献从CO2减排和GDP提升的双重角度深入探讨碳生产率的改进空间问题。鉴于此,本文以中国29个省份2003-2012年的数据为样本,估算了我国各省份的碳生产率潜在改进空间,并从外部环境、内部管理和随机偏差角度将该潜在改进空间分解成6种效应。结果表明:1趋于改良的碳生产率潜在改进率在样本期的均值高达69.15%,CO2内部管理效应和GDP内部管理效应是构成碳生产率潜在改进率的主要成因,但CO2外部环境效应和GDP外部环境效应是碳生产率潜在改进率波动的主要诱因;2碳生产率的总外部环境效应和总内部管理效应在趋于优化,但后者在绝对水平和优化幅度上,均滞后于前者的改良进程,特别是GDP内部管理效应甚至呈现了恶化趋势;3各省份内部管理水平与超效率水平并非完全一致,部分省份的高碳生产率水平主要受惠于先天优良的外部环境。基于此,各省份在制定碳生产率提升计划时,应根据各自的外部环境和内部管理特征制定差异化的具体措施及路径安排。Carbon productivity levels are not only dependent on carbon dioxide emissions,but also depend on economic output base for the use of various elements. However,few studies have analyzed the room for improvement of carbon productivity from the perspective of decreasing carbon dioxide emissions and increasing GDP. Using statistics for China's provinces from2003-2012,we break down the potential improvement of carbon productivity into six factors from the angles of outer environment,inner management and random error after estimation of the potential improvement room of carbon productivity. We found that the average potential improvement of carbon productivity of China overall tends to reduce and is 78.44%;inner management effect of carbon and GDP are the main factors which constitute the potential improvement rate of carbon productivity. However,outer environment effect of carbon and GDP are main induction factors resulting in fluctuation of the potential improvement rate. The total outer environment effects and inner management effects tend to reduce,but the former is better than the latter both in the absolute level and optimization speed,especially for the inner management effect of GDP. The inner management standard and super-efficiency standard of each province are not consistent completely,some provinces' high carbon productivity are results of connatural outer environment. On this basis,when each province is drawing up plans of improving carbon productivity,they should choose different specific measure and path according to each one's outer environment and inner management features.

关 键 词：碳生产率 潜在改进空间 外部环境 内部管理 中国 

分 类 号：F124[经济管理—世界经济] X196[环境科学与工程—环境科学]