定性预测与定量预测的综合运用研究  

A Study about Using Both Judgment and Statistical Forecasting Methods

作　　者：冯春山[1] 吴家春[1] 蒋馥[1] 

机构地区：[1]上海交通大学管理学院,上海200052

出　　处：《东华大学学报（自然科学版）》2004年第3期114-117,共4页Journal of Donghua University(Natural Science)

摘　　要：定性预测和定量预测各有其优点和缺点。这里介绍了它们各自的特点,并介绍了3种综合运用定性预测和定量预测的方法,在此基础上通过具体事例解释了它们的应用,然后比较了3种综合方法的相对适用情形。Judgment and statistical forecasting methods have complementary strengths and weaknesses. This paper introduces their different characteristics and also discusses the three ways of combining both judgment and statistical forecasting methods. This paper explains the ways of combining by example, then compares the three ways of combining.

关 键 词：定性预测 定量预测 预测误差 

分 类 号：F014.32[经济管理—政治经济学]