网络环境下ARIMA模型对于绿色蔬菜市场价格的精确预报  

Exact Forecast Price of Green Vegetable Marketby ARIMA Model in Network Environment

作　　者：魏来[1] 陈良均[2] 

机构地区：[1]四川农业大学都江堰分校,四川都江堰611830 [2]电子科技大学,四川成都610054

出　　处：《四川农业大学学报》2004年第3期243-246,共4页Journal of Sichuan Agricultural University

基　　金：四川农业大学都江堰分校科技基金资助

摘　　要：基于目前绿色蔬菜销售的特点 ,研究在网络环境下绿色蔬菜市场的价格预报问题。从研究单一蔬菜品种卷心菜开始 ,利用ARIMA理论和方法 ,从模型的识别、诊断、拟合与预测定量地研究其价格的问题。考虑到单一品种的片面性 ,提出利用 16种蔬菜加权平均价格作为研究对象的方法。Based on the trait of green vegetable selling now, the problem is concerned with the study of the price forecasting of green vegetable in network environment. As the example of the single vegetable species cabbage, its price problem is studied quantificationally in the facts of identification, diagnose, mimic and forecasting by using ARIMA model. As a result, think over the unilateralism of single species, the method which is aim of the weighted average price of 16 vegetable species is put forward.

关 键 词：网络环境 ARIMA模型 绿色蔬菜 精确预报 时间序列 

分 类 号：TP393[自动化与计算机技术—计算机应用技术] F724[自动化与计算机技术—计算机科学与技术]