我国经济增长与就业增长关系的实证分析  

An Empirical Research on the Relationship Between Economic and Employment Growth in China

作　　者：孙金秀[1] 

机构地区：[1]杭州商学院经济学院,浙江杭州310012

出　　处：《襄樊职业技术学院学报》2005年第1期72-74,共3页Journal of Xiangfan Vocational and Technical College

摘　　要：20世纪90年代以来,我国经济增长的就业弹性呈下降趋势。运用协整理论和格兰杰因果检验对我国经济增长与就业增长的关系进行实证分析,实证结果表明我国经济增长和就业增长之间存在协整关系,但格兰杰检验结果只证明经济增长是就业增长的格兰杰原因,而就业增长不是经济增长的格兰杰原因,也就是说,我国经济的快速增长并没有明显带动就业的增长。Since 1990s, the employment elasticity of the economic growth of our country dropped. The co-integration test and Granger-causality test analyze the relationship between economy and employment growth of our country. The result indicates that there exists cointegration relationship between economic and employment growth. The Granger-causality test bears proof that economic growth is a Grainger cause of employment growth, but employment growth is not the Grainger reason of economic growth. That is to say, the fast growth of the economy of our country has not obviously driven the growth of employment.

关 键 词：就业增长 经济增长 中国 实证分析 格兰杰检验 格兰杰因果检验 协整关系 证明 年代 就业弹性 

分 类 号：G633[文化科学—教育学] F124[经济管理—世界经济]