蒙特卡洛法在吉祥屯气藏储量计算中的应用  

Application of Monte Carlo method in Jixiangtun gas reservoir reserve calculation

作　　者：施尚明[1] 李照永[1] 

机构地区：[1]大庆石油学院地球科学学院,黑龙江大庆163318

出　　处：《特种油气藏》2005年第2期32-34,共3页Special Oil & Gas Reservoirs

摘　　要：论述了蒙特卡洛方法的数学原理,并结合实例阐述了在天然气储量计算过程中各计算参数实际分布产生随机变量抽样方法。该方法的计算结果提供了一定可信度下的天然气储量期望值,特别是在勘探开发初期,可最大限度减少主观因素的影响,为勘探开发提供客观、可靠。This paper expounds the mathematical theory of Monte Carlo method, and the random variable sample method of parameters in the calculation process of gas reserves in conjunction with examples. The calculation method provides a desired value of gas reserve with certain degree of credibility. Especially in the early stage of exploration and development, it can reduces the impact of subjective factors to the maximum extent, and provide objective, reliable and reasonable reserve values.

关 键 词：蒙特卡洛法 储量计算 概率统计 储量期望 应用 吉祥屯气藏 

分 类 号：TE155[石油与天然气工程—油气勘探]