短期气候预测地气图方法的7条预报规则  

7 Predicting Rules of Di-qi Map Method For Short-Term Climate Prediction

作　　者：汤懋苍[1] 张拥军[1] 李栋梁[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国科学院寒区旱区环境与工程研究所甘肃省干旱气候变化与减灾重点实验室,甘肃兰州730000

出　　处：《高原气象》2005年第2期218-222,共5页Plateau Meteorology

基　　金：科技部社会公益研究专项"宁夏气候对全球气候变化的响应及其机制"02专题"河套地区气候变化事实和成因研究"资助

摘　　要：根据三十多年来的短期气候预测经验, 对于降水的短期气候预测, 总结了7 条预报规则: (1)能量频散规则; (2) 相干共振规则; (3) 下游阻塞规则; (4) 侧向抑制规则; (5) 驻波不频散规则; (6)风吹雨斜规则; (7) 准半年重现规则(准半年韵律)。Based on the thirty year short-term climate prediction experiences, the 7 rules for rainfall prediction of short-term climate areintroduced in this paper. Because the physical foundations of these rules are correction, they play an important role on the short-term rainfall prediction. Butin some cases they may be incompatible, some further investigations and improvements are still needed.

关 键 词：短期气候预测 地气图方法 降水预测 预报规则 

分 类 号：P456.1[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]