温室番茄发育模拟模型研究  

Simulation of the Development of Tomato in Greenhouse

作　　者：倪纪恒[1] 罗卫红[1] 李永秀[1] 戴剑锋[1] 金亮[1] 徐国彬[1] 陈永山[1] 韩利[1] 邰翔[1] 陈春宏[2] 卜崇兴[2] 

机构地区：[1]南京农业大学农学院,南京210095 [2]上海市农业科学院/上海市设施园艺技术重点实验室,上海201106

出　　处：《中国农业科学》2005年第6期1219-1225,共7页Scientia Agricultura Sinica

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(60073028);国家"863"计划(2001AA247023);上海市科技兴农重点攻关项目(农科字2002第3-1-1号)

摘　　要：以番茄(Lycopersiconesculentum)的发育生理生态过程为基础,以作物生理发育时间为尺度,利用不同地点、播期、品种试验,建立了温室番茄发育模拟模型,并用南京和上海的试验数据对模型进行了检验。结果表明,模型能较好地预测各个发育阶段(发芽、苗期、开花、结果和采收)的出现时间和持续日数。模拟值与观测值的回归估计标准误差(RMSE)分别为0、1、1.87、2.69、3d,明显高于以有效积温为尺度的模拟模型预测精度(RMSE分别为0、7.91、8.86、13.58、12.59d)。A simulation model for tomato development in greenhouse was developed based on the concept of physiological development time (PDT) and the photo-thermal reactions of tomato in greenhouse. The model was validated by independent experimental data from Shanghai and Nanjing. The results showed that the simulated results agreed well with the measured ones. The root mean squared error (RMSE) for germination, seedling, flowering, fruit setting, and harvest development stages was 0, 1, 1.87, 2.69 and 3 days, respectively. The prediction accuracy of this model is remarkably higher than that of the Growth Degree Day (GDD) based model (RMSE is 0, 7.91, 8.86, 13.58 and 12.59 days, respectively, for germination, seedling, flowering, fruit setting, and harvest development stages).

关 键 词：模拟模型 温室番茄 生理生态过程 生理发育时间 估计标准误差 品种试验 试验数据 发育阶段 预测精度 有效积温 观测值 作物 播期 苗期 

分 类 号：S641.2[农业科学—蔬菜学]