灾害与经济增长关系的定量分析  

THE QUANTITATIVE STUDY ON THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN DISASTERS AND ECONOMIC GROWTH

作　　者：张显东[1] 沈荣芳[1] 

机构地区：[1]同济大学经济管理学院,上海200092

出　　处：《自然灾害学报》1995年第4期23-26,40,共5页Journal of Natural Disasters

摘　　要：本文以哈罗德-多马经济增长模型为基础,初步估计了灾害直接损失对经济增长率的影响,并由此导出了一个计算灾害间接经济损失的方法。为从宏观的角度分析灾害损失与经济增长的关系提供了一种思路。In this paper, the study is concentrated on the relationship between disaster losses and economic growth. On the basis of Harrod-Domar Model, the influnces of disaster losses to economic growth rate is estimated. Then, a new method for evaluating the indirect losses of disasters is developed.

关 键 词：灾害经济学 灾害评估 经济增长 灾害 定量分析 

分 类 号：X4[环境科学与工程—灾害防治]