中长期日负荷曲线预测的研究  

THE STUDY ON LONG TERM DAILY LOAD CURVE FORECASTING

作　　者：康重庆[1] 夏清[1] 相年德[1] 刘梅[1] 

机构地区：[1]清华大学电机系

出　　处：《电力系统自动化》1996年第6期16-20,共5页Automation of Electric Power Systems

摘　　要：针对我国电力部门所积累的基础数据，提出了一种基于用电结构分析的日负荷曲线预测方法，在建模时引进了灰色系统的思想，对原始数据作了生成处理，所建立的数学模型物理意义明确、表达方式简捷，并针对其特点提出了有效的求解方法。According to the available data in China, a new method of daily load curve forecasting(DLCF) is proposed. By using generating operation of Grey System method, the model of DLCF is obtained. Some definite physical concepts are considered in this model and a convenient algorithm with high computational speed is given. Case study shows its efficiency.

关 键 词：电力系统 规划 日负荷曲线 预测 

分 类 号：TM715[电气工程—电力系统及自动化]