基于协整技术的消费拉动效应分析  

Analysis About Consumption Demand Effect Based on the Co-integration

作　　者：杨茂[1] 

机构地区：[1]河南工业大学,河南郑州450052

出　　处：《中原工学院学报》2006年第1期61-63,共3页Journal of Zhongyuan University of Technology

摘　　要：对消费者信心指数是否与消费需求存在长期的均衡关系进行了实证研究.通过应用协整技术对我国消费者信心指数与京、津、沪、穗四大城市的社会消费品零售总额之间的关系进行了检验.结果表明:我国消费者信心指数对四大城市消费需求不存在显著的协整关系.It is tested whether there exists a long equilibrium relationship between consumer confidence index and consumption demand. Using co-integration technique, the dynamic relationship is studied between consumer confidence index and the total retail sales of consumer goods in the Chinese leading cities, The results show that there is no co-integration relationship between them to any city in China.

关 键 词：消费者信心指数 社会消费品零售总额 均衡关系 协整技术 

分 类 号：F713.54[经济管理—市场营销]