电力市场电价预测方法综述  

Electricity price forecast methods of electricity market

作　　者：陈思杰[1] 周浩[1] 

机构地区：[1]浙江大学电气工程学院,浙江杭州310027

出　　处：《继电器》2006年第11期54-60,共7页Relay

摘　　要：电价是反映电力市场运营状况,评价市场竞争效率的核心指标,是电力市场决策的基础。阐述了电力市场电价预测问题的特点、内容和方法,分析和比较了短期预测和中长期预测的各种方法,指出了各种方法的优缺点,提出了一些提高预测精度的改进措施,并对电价预测中的一些关键问题进行了分析探讨。Price is the key index evaluate the market competition efficiency and reflects the operation condition of electricity market for electricity market decision-making. This paper illustrates the characteristics and methods of the electricity price forecast. It analyzes and compares the various methods used in the short-term, medium and long-term forecast. The merits and faults of methods are put forward. Some key problems improvement measures and in the electricity price forecast are put forword respectively.

关 键 词：电力市场 电价预测 神经网络 小波分析 遗传算法 模糊推理 

分 类 号：TM731[电气工程—电力系统及自动化]