镜泊湖春汛流量预测及分析  

Forecast and analysis of water rate in spring flood period in Jingpohu lake

作　　者：赵明华 崔军 

机构地区：[1]牡丹江水力发电总厂,黑龙江牡丹江157000

出　　处：《黑龙江电力》2007年第1期26-29,共4页Heilongjiang Electric Power

摘　　要：应用数值分析中的数据拟合法和迭代法进行数据计算和分析,通过对冬季各月降雪量的分析,并对4月份流量进行定量预报,结合其它预报因子对预报流量进行修正。该方法主要是对牡丹江流域春讯流量进行定量预报,弥补以前定性预报方法错误率高、精度低、可靠性不高的缺点。Using data fitting method and iterative method of numerical analysis to calculate and analyze data, the water rate on April is forecasted quantificationally by analyzing snowfall of every month in winter, which is amended by combining others forecast factors. The method is mainly used to forecast quatificationally the spring flood period flow in Mudanjiang area, which has more precious and reliable than the former method does.

关 键 词：春汛 数据拟合法 迭代法 牡丹江流域 水力发电 

分 类 号：TV7[水利工程—水利水电工程]