中小城市交通生成量预测模型研究  

Study on the Traffic Demand Forecasting Models for the Small and Medium-Sized Cities

作　　者：陈月明[1] 成卫[1] 董玉佩[1] 

机构地区：[1]昆明理工大学交通工程学院,云南昆明650224

出　　处：《昆明理工大学学报（理工版）》2007年第5期78-81,共4页Journal of Kunming University of Science and Technology(Natural Science Edition)

基　　金：云南省中青年学术与技术带头人后备人才基金项目(项目编号:2005PY01-35)

摘　　要：随着经济的发展,许多中小城市都面临着城市扩大的趋势,土地利用布局发生很大的改变.而土地利用是出行活动生成的决定因素之一.因此,为了提高中小城市出行生成预测模型的精度,将中小城市的交通生成预测问题和交通小区土地利用结合起来,引入区位势能对土地利用进行量化,从而使预测结果更加精确.Along with the economic development, many small and medium-sized cities are facing the tendency of city expansion, and the layout of the land-use is having a big change. Land-use is one of critical factors which influence the trip production. Therefore, in order to enhance the precision of the trip production forecasting model of the small and medium-sized cities, the trip production forecasting problems of the small and medium-sized city are combined with the land - use of the traffic zone. The region potential energy to measure the land use which makes the forecasting result more correct is introduced.

关 键 词：区位势能 交通需求预测 城市交通 土地利用 

分 类 号：U491.1[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]