某型航空反潜鱼雷搜索概率问题仿真研究  

Simulation of search efficiency of aerial antisubmarine torpedo

作　　者：赵绪明[1] 杨根源[1] 黄晅[1] 刘震鹏 

机构地区：[1]海军航空工程学院,山东烟台264001 [2]海军湛江地区装备修理监修室,广东湛江524005

出　　处：《舰船科学技术》2007年第5期146-148,151,共4页Ship Science and Technology

摘　　要：几种典型航空反潜鱼雷的搜索路径基本上是圆周形,其搜索区域可以看作是一个小圆。对鱼雷的搜索过程进行合理的假设简化,建立其搜索模型,并对发现潜艇这个随机事件作统计试验。分析结果可知,提高鱼雷搜索半径,降低鱼雷搜索前的延迟时间,可以显著改善鱼雷的发现概率;反潜机对目标的定位误差和鱼雷的投置偏差,都会影响到搜索概率;从不同角度攻击潜艇,潜艇采取的规避方式,也会影响到捕捉概率,这些结果是值得作战指挥员关注的。The search route of typical aerial antisubmarine torpedo is circumference shape, whose search region can be regarded as a small circle. We make the reasonable hypothesis and predigestion to the torpedo search process and can establish his search model. After simulate the search process, we analyse the result. From the result, we can come to the conclusion that raising the torpedo search radius and reducing the delay time before the torpedo begins to research can improve the torpedo detecting efficiency, that submarine positioning error and the diffusive error of the point of fall of torpedo also can influence the search efficiency, that when the submarine is attacked from the different angles, how the submarine evade the torpedo also can influence the seizure probability. These results shold arrest perational command person＇s attention.

关 键 词：航空反潜鱼雷 潜艇 模型 仿真 搜索概率 

分 类 号：E925.23[军事—军事装备学] TP391.9[兵器科学与技术—武器系统与运用工程]