从系统动力学的视角看风险的本质与分类  

Essence and classification of risk in view of systematic dynamics

作　　者：胡爱军[1] 李宁[2] 李春华[1] 黄树青[1] 

机构地区：[1]北京师范大学环境演变与自然灾害教育部重点实验室,北京100875 [2]地表过程与资源生态国家重点实验室(北京师范大学),北京100875

出　　处：《自然灾害学报》2008年第1期39-43,共5页Journal of Natural Disasters

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(40771008);国家科技攻关支撑项目(2006BAD20B01)

摘　　要：从系统动力学的视角论述了风险的系统动力学特征,并在分析风险分类重要性的基础上,提出从风险的系统动力学特征出发,以风险因素作为风险分类依据的分类的构想,该风险分类体系有利于加强风险基础数据库建设,提高风险分析和管理水平。Systematic dynamics character/sties of the risk was discussed in view of systematic dynamics theory. Based on analysis of importance of risk classification, the idea that take the risk factors as a basis of risk classification was presented. The risk classification system mentioned is beneficial to construction of fundamental risk database and improvement of risk analysis and management level.

关 键 词：风险 风险分类 系统动力学 

分 类 号：X4[环境科学与工程—灾害防治]